Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.2%
Venezia
23.3%
Draw
63.4%
Milan
Expected Goals (xG)
0.60
Venezia
vs
1.66
Milan
Markets
BTTS36.3%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.565.8%
Over 2.539.3%
Over 3.519.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.5%
0-2
14.4%
0-0
10.3%
1-1
10.2%
1-2
8.6%
0-3
8.0%
1-0
6.4%
1-3
4.8%
0-4
3.3%
2-1
3.1%
2-2
2.6%
1-4
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).