Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.2%
Brest
23.4%
Draw
31.4%
Lorient
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Brest
vs
1.27
Lorient
Markets
BTTS56.4%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.531.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.0%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.2%
2-2
5.8%
0-0
5.1%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.7%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).