Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.8%
Aris
24.2%
Draw
26.0%
Lens
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Aris
vs
1.08
Lens
Markets
BTTS52.6%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.528.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
8.8%
0-1
7.7%
0-0
6.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
5.1%
3-0
4.7%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).