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AHT: 00CSV

10 Nov 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.7%
Annan Athletic
35.1%
Draw
24.2%
Cowdenbeath

Expected Goals (xG)

1.16

Annan Athletic

vs
0.84

Cowdenbeath

Markets

BTTS41.3%
Over 0.584.1%
Over 1.561.7%
Over 2.532.2%
Over 3.514.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
15.9%
1-1
15.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-0
9.1%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
5.5%
0-2
4.8%
3-0
3.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-1
2.9%
1-3
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).