Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.9%
Sevilla
25.2%
Draw
25.9%
Leganes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65
Sevilla
vs
1.14
Leganes
Markets
BTTS55.4%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.552.9%
Over 3.530.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
8.4%
1-2
6.6%
0-1
6.6%
0-0
6.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-1
5.3%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).