Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.4%
Salernitana
33.8%
Draw
24.9%
Avellino
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Salernitana
vs
0.80
Avellino
Markets
BTTS38.3%
Over 0.583.9%
Over 1.558.3%
Over 2.530.0%
Over 3.512.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
16.1%
1-0
15.1%
1-1
14.5%
0-1
10.5%
2-0
9.1%
2-1
7.3%
1-2
5.3%
0-2
4.7%
3-0
3.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-1
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).