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11 Sept 2022 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.7%
Kaiserslautern
24.4%
Draw
44.9%
Darmstadt

Expected Goals (xG)

1.51

Kaiserslautern

vs
1.85

Darmstadt

Markets

BTTS66.6%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.585.8%
Over 2.565.2%
Over 3.543.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.7%
1-2
9.0%
2-1
7.3%
2-2
6.8%
0-2
6.0%
1-3
5.5%
0-1
5.5%
0-0
4.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-3
4.2%
2-0
4.0%
3-1
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).