Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.7%
Notts County
25.3%
Draw
24.0%
Walsall
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Notts County
vs
0.92
Walsall
Markets
BTTS45.7%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.568.4%
Over 2.542.8%
Over 3.521.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.0%
1-1
11.8%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
8.9%
0-0
8.6%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
4.9%
3-1
4.5%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).