Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.7%
Osasuna
26.1%
Draw
20.2%
Valencia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Osasuna
vs
0.84
Valencia
Markets
BTTS45.1%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.569.3%
Over 2.542.8%
Over 3.522.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-0
11.0%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
7.5%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.0%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
3.9%
0-2
3.3%
4-0
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).