Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →83.8%
Ipswich
10.9%
Draw
5.3%
Fleetwood Town
Expected Goals (xG)
2.71
Ipswich
vs
0.52
Fleetwood Town
Markets
BTTS37.4%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.582.8%
Over 2.562.7%
Over 3.540.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.5%
3-0
13.1%
1-0
11.2%
4-0
8.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-1
6.8%
1-1
5.1%
5-0
4.8%
4-1
4.6%
0-0
3.5%
0-1
2.5%
5-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).