Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.4%
Martigues
31.9%
Draw
33.7%
Bastia
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
Martigues
vs
0.85
Bastia
Markets
BTTS31.8%
Over 0.582.9%
Over 1.549.8%
Over 2.524.4%
Over 3.59.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
17.1%
1-0
16.7%
0-1
16.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.5%
2-1
5.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-0
1.9%
0-3
1.8%
3-1
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).