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AHT: 01CSV

03 Feb 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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20.1%
Apollon
32.0%
Draw
47.9%
Asteras Tripolis

Expected Goals (xG)

0.71

Apollon

vs
1.25

Asteras Tripolis

Markets

BTTS37.4%
Over 0.584.7%
Over 1.559.4%
Over 2.531.2%
Over 3.513.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
16.4%
0-0
15.3%
1-1
13.7%
0-2
11.0%
1-0
8.9%
1-2
7.8%
0-3
4.6%
2-1
4.5%
2-0
3.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-2
2.8%
0-4
1.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).