Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.6%
Valenciennes
26.4%
Draw
54.9%
Le Mans
Expected Goals (xG)
0.64
Valenciennes
vs
1.35
Le Mans
Markets
BTTS34.0%
Over 0.587.2%
Over 1.558.0%
Over 2.531.9%
Over 3.514.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
19.5%
0-0
12.8%
0-2
12.5%
1-1
10.9%
1-0
9.7%
1-2
8.0%
0-3
5.6%
2-1
3.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-0
2.8%
2-2
2.5%
0-4
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).