Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.3%
Kristiansund
22.9%
Draw
40.8%
Sarpsborg 08
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Kristiansund
vs
1.69
Sarpsborg 08
Markets
BTTS64.7%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.583.7%
Over 2.563.5%
Over 3.541.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.0%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
8.0%
2-2
6.8%
0-1
6.5%
1-0
6.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.2%
2-3
3.8%
0-0
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).