Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.0%
Mirandes
26.5%
Draw
29.6%
Ponferradina
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Mirandes
vs
1.09
Ponferradina
Markets
BTTS49.8%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.523.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
1-0
11.7%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
8.8%
0-0
8.2%
2-0
8.1%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
5.0%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).