Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →88.4%
Fulham
8.8%
Draw
2.8%
Sheffield Weds
Expected Goals (xG)
3.27
Fulham
vs
0.52
Sheffield Weds
Markets
BTTS39.6%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.589.6%
Over 2.573.0%
Over 3.552.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
13.1%
2-0
12.0%
4-0
10.7%
1-0
7.0%
5-0
7.0%
3-1
6.9%
2-1
6.3%
4-1
5.6%
1-1
4.2%
5-1
3.7%
0-0
2.6%
3-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).