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27 Aug 2024 · 18:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.4%
FC Koln
24.3%
Draw
24.3%
AFC Stoneham

Expected Goals (xG)

1.59

FC Koln

vs
1.01

AFC Stoneham

Markets

BTTS50.2%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.548.1%
Over 3.526.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
9.4%
0-1
7.8%
0-0
7.1%
1-2
6.0%
3-1
5.0%
3-0
5.0%
2-2
4.8%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).