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06 Nov 2023 · 17:30

Empoli

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.6%
Frosinone
26.2%
Draw
32.2%
Empoli

Expected Goals (xG)

1.37

Frosinone

vs
1.17

Empoli

Markets

BTTS51.1%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.546.5%
Over 3.525.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.4%
1-0
11.1%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
8.6%
0-0
7.7%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.4%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
3.9%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).