Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.4%
Alcorcon
29.3%
Draw
53.3%
Elche
Expected Goals (xG)
0.59
Alcorcon
vs
1.28
Elche
Markets
BTTS32.1%
Over 0.584.7%
Over 1.555.6%
Over 2.528.7%
Over 3.512.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
19.8%
0-0
15.3%
0-2
12.6%
1-1
11.5%
1-0
9.3%
1-2
7.4%
0-3
5.3%
2-1
3.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-0
2.7%
2-2
2.2%
0-4
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).