Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.5%
Wigan
28.6%
Draw
40.9%
Bolton
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Wigan
vs
1.09
Bolton
Markets
BTTS38.0%
Over 0.587.3%
Over 1.557.8%
Over 2.531.8%
Over 3.513.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.1%
1-0
13.4%
0-0
12.7%
1-1
12.3%
0-2
8.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-1
6.0%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
3.3%
0-3
3.0%
1-3
2.6%
3-1
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).