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03 Sept 2023 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.6%
Le Havre
28.3%
Draw
41.1%
Lorient

Expected Goals (xG)

0.95

Le Havre

vs
1.15

Lorient

Markets

BTTS41.0%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.561.2%
Over 2.534.9%
Over 3.516.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.9%
1-1
12.6%
1-0
12.4%
0-0
11.5%
0-2
8.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-1
6.3%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
3.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-3
2.9%
3-1
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).