Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.4%
Thun
18.0%
Draw
7.6%
Grasshopper
Expected Goals (xG)
2.47
Thun
vs
0.72
Grasshopper
Markets
BTTS48.3%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.584.0%
Over 2.561.8%
Over 3.539.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.6%
3-0
10.3%
2-1
9.0%
1-0
8.9%
1-1
8.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-0
6.4%
0-0
5.4%
4-1
4.6%
2-2
3.3%
5-0
3.1%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).