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24 Aug 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.9%
WSG Tirol
24.4%
Draw
32.7%
Austria Wien

Expected Goals (xG)

1.75

WSG Tirol

vs
1.51

Austria Wien

Markets

BTTS65.0%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.584.3%
Over 2.563.1%
Over 3.541.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.9%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-2
6.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.2%
0-1
5.1%
0-0
4.6%
0-2
4.4%
3-2
3.9%
1-3
3.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).