Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.1%
Nurnberg
20.1%
Draw
10.8%
Regensburg
Expected Goals (xG)
2.18
Nurnberg
vs
0.76
Regensburg
Markets
BTTS48.2%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.580.1%
Over 2.556.5%
Over 3.534.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.5%
1-0
10.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
9.1%
3-1
7.0%
0-0
6.1%
4-0
5.0%
4-1
3.8%
2-2
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
0-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).