Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.8%
Granada
25.3%
Draw
16.9%
Zaragoza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Granada
vs
0.70
Zaragoza
Markets
BTTS39.5%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.565.6%
Over 2.539.0%
Over 3.519.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.5%
2-0
12.6%
1-1
11.3%
0-0
10.5%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.5%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
4.6%
1-2
4.0%
2-2
3.1%
0-2
2.6%
4-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).