Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.1%
Exeter
22.0%
Draw
29.8%
Barnsley
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
Exeter
vs
1.27
Barnsley
Markets
BTTS57.8%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.556.9%
Over 3.534.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
0-1
7.5%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-2
6.0%
3-1
5.3%
0-0
4.2%
0-2
4.2%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).