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AHT: 01CSV

15 Feb 2021 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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18.6%
Genclerbirligi
30.8%
Draw
50.6%
Besiktas

Expected Goals (xG)

0.93

Genclerbirligi

vs
1.62

Besiktas

Markets

BTTS51.4%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.525.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.7%
0-0
10.8%
0-2
10.3%
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.5%
0-3
5.5%
2-1
5.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-2
4.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-0
3.4%
2-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).