Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.3%
Sheffield Weds
15.7%
Draw
9.1%
Cambridge
Expected Goals (xG)
2.21
Sheffield Weds
vs
0.59
Cambridge
Markets
BTTS38.9%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.530.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.9%
1-0
14.1%
3-0
11.0%
2-1
8.8%
1-1
7.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-0
6.1%
0-0
5.4%
0-1
4.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-0
2.7%
2-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).