Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.3%
Brentford
26.0%
Draw
32.8%
Man United
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Brentford
vs
1.52
Man United
Markets
BTTS65.6%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.584.9%
Over 2.562.9%
Over 3.540.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-2
6.7%
2-0
5.8%
0-0
5.3%
1-0
5.3%
3-1
5.1%
0-1
4.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.9%
3-2
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).