Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.7%
Rio Ave
32.8%
Draw
28.5%
Farense
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Rio Ave
vs
0.87
Farense
Markets
BTTS39.1%
Over 0.584.8%
Over 1.558.6%
Over 2.530.8%
Over 3.513.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
15.2%
1-0
14.5%
1-1
14.2%
0-1
11.7%
2-0
8.2%
2-1
7.2%
1-2
5.9%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-0
2.9%
3-1
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).