Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.0%
Leganes
27.2%
Draw
17.9%
Villarreal B
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Leganes
vs
0.67
Villarreal B
Markets
BTTS36.8%
Over 0.587.6%
Over 1.561.4%
Over 2.534.5%
Over 3.515.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.7%
2-0
12.4%
0-0
12.4%
1-1
11.7%
0-1
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
4.0%
3-1
3.9%
0-2
2.8%
2-2
2.8%
4-0
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).