Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.8%
Union Berlin
26.3%
Draw
44.9%
RB Leipzig
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Union Berlin
vs
1.59
RB Leipzig
Markets
BTTS57.0%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.531.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
1-2
9.3%
0-1
8.7%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
7.2%
0-0
6.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-2
5.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
4.0%
2-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).