Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.7%
Mechelen
24.4%
Draw
32.9%
Gent
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Mechelen
vs
1.49
Gent
Markets
BTTS64.3%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.583.7%
Over 2.562.3%
Over 3.540.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.9%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-2
6.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-0
6.0%
0-1
5.4%
3-1
5.1%
0-0
4.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.8%
3-2
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).