Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.2%
Bologna
21.6%
Draw
18.2%
Frosinone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.90
Bologna
vs
0.93
Frosinone
Markets
BTTS51.3%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.553.8%
Over 3.531.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.4%
2-0
10.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
6.7%
3-1
6.3%
0-0
5.7%
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-2
4.6%
4-0
3.2%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).