Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.8%
Bastia
28.8%
Draw
50.4%
Paris FC
Expected Goals (xG)
0.64
Bastia
vs
1.19
Paris FC
Markets
BTTS31.8%
Over 0.584.9%
Over 1.553.6%
Over 2.527.7%
Over 3.511.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
20.1%
0-0
15.1%
0-2
11.4%
1-0
11.2%
1-1
11.2%
1-2
7.3%
0-3
4.5%
2-1
3.9%
2-0
3.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-2
2.3%
0-4
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).