Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.6%
Tranmere
26.0%
Draw
35.4%
Sunderland
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Tranmere
vs
1.13
Sunderland
Markets
BTTS46.0%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.566.3%
Over 2.540.9%
Over 3.520.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.8%
0-1
12.2%
1-1
12.1%
0-0
8.7%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
2.8%
3-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).