Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.5%
Cultural Leonesa
29.0%
Draw
35.6%
Zaragoza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Cultural Leonesa
vs
1.10
Zaragoza
Markets
BTTS44.1%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.564.1%
Over 2.537.4%
Over 3.517.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
0-1
12.4%
1-0
12.4%
0-0
11.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-1
7.3%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
6.7%
2-2
4.0%
1-3
2.7%
3-1
2.7%
0-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).