Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.6%
Albacete
26.2%
Draw
31.2%
Sp Gijon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Albacete
vs
1.16
Sp Gijon
Markets
BTTS51.4%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.547.0%
Over 3.525.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
1-0
11.0%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.8%
0-0
7.7%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.3%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).