Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.5%
Hertha
26.8%
Draw
25.7%
Nurnberg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
Hertha
vs
1.15
Nurnberg
Markets
BTTS56.1%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.577.7%
Over 2.552.6%
Over 3.530.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
9.0%
2-0
8.3%
0-0
7.3%
1-2
6.7%
0-1
6.0%
2-2
5.4%
3-1
5.2%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).