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DHT: 10CSV

14 May 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.5%
Kayserispor
33.6%
Draw
31.9%
Sivasspor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.27

Kayserispor

vs
1.21

Sivasspor

Markets

BTTS53.8%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.545.2%
Over 3.523.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
16.1%
0-0
11.6%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
7.8%
1-0
7.4%
0-1
6.9%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
3.4%
1-3
3.2%
3-0
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).