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HHT: 11CSV

26 Aug 2022 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.5%
Oldham
24.5%
Draw
24.0%
Aldershot

Expected Goals (xG)

1.85

Oldham

vs
1.21

Aldershot

Markets

BTTS60.1%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.581.9%
Over 2.559.1%
Over 3.536.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.0%
1-0
7.8%
1-2
6.4%
3-1
6.0%
2-2
5.9%
0-0
5.5%
3-0
4.9%
0-1
4.8%
3-2
3.6%
0-2
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).