Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.1%
Huesca
29.2%
Draw
16.6%
Lugo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Huesca
vs
0.57
Lugo
Markets
BTTS31.2%
Over 0.584.4%
Over 1.555.1%
Over 2.528.3%
Over 3.511.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
20.2%
0-0
15.6%
2-0
12.9%
1-1
11.3%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
3.3%
3-1
3.1%
0-2
2.5%
2-2
2.1%
4-0
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).