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19 Aug 2025 · 18:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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69.0%
Waltham Abbey
17.3%
Draw
13.7%
Bristol City

Expected Goals (xG)

2.35

Waltham Abbey

vs
0.94

Bristol City

Markets

BTTS54.8%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.583.7%
Over 2.563.7%
Over 3.541.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
9.0%
3-0
8.1%
1-1
8.0%
3-1
7.6%
4-0
4.7%
2-2
4.5%
4-1
4.4%
1-2
3.9%
0-1
3.8%
3-2
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).