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12 Jul 2020 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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18.6%
Wolves
31.6%
Draw
49.8%
Everton

Expected Goals (xG)

0.73

Wolves

vs
1.35

Everton

Markets

BTTS40.2%
Over 0.585.8%
Over 1.563.3%
Over 2.534.6%
Over 3.515.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.1%
0-0
14.2%
1-1
14.0%
0-2
11.4%
1-2
8.3%
1-0
7.4%
0-3
5.1%
2-1
4.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-0
3.3%
2-2
3.0%
0-4
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).