Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.0%
Schalke 04
26.3%
Draw
21.8%
Dresden
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Schalke 04
vs
1.03
Dresden
Markets
BTTS53.6%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.551.2%
Over 3.529.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
9.4%
0-0
7.7%
1-2
5.9%
0-1
5.6%
3-1
5.5%
3-0
5.3%
2-2
5.0%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).