Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.2%
Benevento
17.4%
Draw
71.4%
Atalanta
Expected Goals (xG)
0.76
Benevento
vs
2.25
Atalanta
Markets
BTTS47.4%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.580.1%
Over 2.557.9%
Over 3.535.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.5%
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.5%
0-3
9.4%
1-1
8.3%
1-3
7.1%
0-4
5.3%
0-0
4.8%
1-4
4.0%
1-0
3.9%
2-2
3.6%
2-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).