Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.1%
Wigan
32.8%
Draw
45.1%
Swansea
Expected Goals (xG)
0.74
Wigan
vs
1.17
Swansea
Markets
BTTS37.0%
Over 0.584.1%
Over 1.557.9%
Over 2.529.8%
Over 3.512.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.3%
0-0
15.9%
1-1
13.9%
0-2
10.2%
1-0
9.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-1
4.7%
2-0
4.0%
0-3
4.0%
1-3
2.9%
2-2
2.8%
0-4
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).