Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.0%
Stevenage
26.9%
Draw
24.1%
Rotherham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Stevenage
vs
0.79
Rotherham
Markets
BTTS38.2%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.560.0%
Over 2.534.0%
Over 3.515.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.3%
1-1
11.7%
0-0
11.6%
0-1
11.1%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
5.0%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
3.9%
3-1
3.5%
2-2
3.2%
4-0
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).