Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.2%
Pisa
28.3%
Draw
29.5%
Palermo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Pisa
vs
1.18
Palermo
Markets
BTTS54.5%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.527.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
8.3%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.3%
0-1
7.2%
2-2
5.3%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).