Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.4%
Norwich
22.8%
Draw
14.8%
Reading
Expected Goals (xG)
1.96
Norwich
vs
0.86
Reading
Markets
BTTS50.4%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.553.6%
Over 3.531.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.5%
1-1
10.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
7.5%
0-0
6.8%
3-1
6.4%
1-2
4.3%
0-1
4.3%
2-2
4.2%
4-0
3.7%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).